(This article is organized by the public account Yuesheng Investment Advisor (yslcw927), for reference only, and does not constitute operation advice. If you do it yourself, please pay attention to position control and risk at your own risk.)
Circumstances, let’s calculate by computer first, suppose 10 years agoyear ago was 2009year 7month 17day Gree The opening price of electrical appliances shall prevail, as of 2019Year JulyMonth 18 strong>DailyGree Electric closing price shall prevail;
The first year :The opening price of 500,000 yuan at the opening price of Gree Electric on July 17, 2009 is 22.65 yuan. If 500,000 yuan is set at this opening price Standard, the shares that can be purchased are:500,000 yuan/22.65 yuan=22,075 shares. Initially, 500,000 yuan can be purchased in July 2009. Gree Electric About 22075 shares. Dividends were already implemented in June 2009, and the dividend income of Gree Electric was not enjoyed.
The second year:Gree Electric implements 5 yuan for every 10 shares to get 5 shares, from here It can be calculated that the shareholding of Gree Electric in 2010 can be divided into:22075 shares* (10/5 yuan)=11037.53 yuan;Gree Electric after the implementation of the share conversion, the total number of shares is:22075 shares + 22075 shares * (10/5 shares)=33742.5 shares.
The third year:Gree Electric once again implements the distribution of 3 yuan for every 10 shares, with a cash dividend of 33742.5 shares *(10/3)=10122.75 yuan. In 2011, you can enjoy the Gree Electric cash dividend of 10122.75 yuan.
The fourth year:Gree Electric implemented 10 distributions of 5 yuan, with a cash dividend of 33742.5 shares* (10 /5)=16871.25 yuan. In 2012, you can enjoy the Gree Electric cash dividend of 1,6871.25 yuan.
The 5th year:Gree Electric implemented a 10 distribution of 10 yuan, and a cash dividend of 33742.5 shares* (10 /10)=33742.5 yuan. In 2013, you can enjoy the Gree Electric cash dividend of 33742.5 yuan.
Year 6:Gree Electric implemented a 10 distribution of 15 yuan, and a cash dividend of 33742.5 shares*( 10/15)=50613.75 yuan. In 2014, you can enjoy the Gree Electric cash dividend of 50613.75 yuan.
Year 7:Gree Electric implements a 10 share distribution of 30 yuan to 10 shares, with a dividend of 33742.5 shares *(10/30 yuan)=101227.5 yuan; Gree Electric The total number of shares after the implementation of the conversion:33742.5 shares + 33742.5 shares *(10/10 shares)=67485 shares.
The 8th year:Gree Electric implemented 10 distributions of 15 yuan, with a cash dividend of 67485 shares* (10 /15)=101227.5 yuan, you can enjoy the Gree Electric cash dividend of 101227.5 yuan in 2016.
Year 9:Gree Electric implemented 10 distributions of 18 yuan, and cash dividends of 67485 shares*( 10/18)=121473 yuan. In 2017, you can enjoy the Gree Electric cash dividend of 121473 yuan.
The 10th year:Gree Electric implements 10 distributions of 6 yuan, with a cash dividend of 67485 shares* (10 /6)=40491 yuan, in 2018 you can enjoy Gree Electric cash dividend of 40491 yuan.
As of yesterday, July 18, 2019, the closing price of Gree Electric was 54.40 yuan. After the previous total number of shares of 22075 shares were transferred twice, the total number of shares held by Gree Electric is 67485 shares; Thus, the income of Gree Electric in 10 years’ stock price can be calculated:67485 shares * 54.40 yuan=3671184 yuan, as of At present, the total market value of Gree Electric is 3671184 yuan.
Recalculate the accumulated dividend amount of Gree Electric for 10 years:11037.53 yuan + 10122.75 yuan + 16871.25 yuan + 33742.5 yuan + 50613.75 yuan + 101227.5 yuan + 101227.5 yuan + 121473 yuan + 40491 yuan=486806.78 yuan.
So far total market value + dividend income=total amount, 3671184 yuan + 486806.78 yuan=4157990.78 yuan;
Buy with 500,000 yuan 10 years agoGree Electric, as of July 18, 2019 Gree Electric closing According to the calculation of the price, the total profit of holding Gree Electric for 10 years is:4,579,907.78 yuan -500,000 yuan=3,579,990.78 yuan; so 10 years ago Buying a total warehouse of 500,000 Gree Electric so far has a profit of approximately 3,57,990 yuan.
Back to the title, friends will be more concerned about what kind of stock can become the second”Gree”Electrical appliances” such a long-term dark horse.
In my opinion, from the perspective of Gree’s industry attributes, it is a household appliance, not a cyclical industry, and has a certain degree of resilience. Why do steel, non-ferrous metals, coal and other industries do not produce long-term bull stocks, while sectors such as food and beverage, household appliances, wine and other sectors appear More? This shows that it is easier to succeed if you choose the right industry.
The second is that Gree Electric has become the leader in the small and micro industry. When it comes to air conditioning, everyone thinks of Gree. Gree is very influential in the market, and the company has good management capabilities and is very responsible for its shareholders. It is a company with a good image, a good reputation, and a good profit, and its stock price is naturally not bad. The success of Gree Electric gives us a heuristic to choose the right industry, choose the right Leading stocks.
Who is the leading stock? See whose rise is fast and strong and resolute! Leading stocks are defined by the market, but no one stipulates who must be the leader and who is not allowed to be the leader. As long as you rise well and the public recognizes it, you will become the leader.
Becoming a leader, there are too many benefits:you have become the focus of market attention and a hot spot for funds to pursue, there are many people who follow the trend, and there is a lot of room for growth, but it is easier to ship. After retreating, the main market forces will support you in order to maintain market popularity, so that you will not fall! You make money without being scolded. Therefore, every main force wants to become a leading stock.
Since there are so many benefits of becoming a leading stock, the main players will fight for it. Strive to go up a bit before the market starts, so as to free up all the previous lock-ups. As soon as the market starts, it will take the lead. There is no hold-up, the resistance is naturally small, and profitable selling has other follow-ups to help digest. This has become a leading stock, a big bull stock.
However, in addition to some courage, it also requires strength and judgment.
Raised to the previous high in advance, but the market did not rise. The profit of retail investors was too much to sell, and the main force could not all take over by themselves, so the stock price was beaten back again, forming a”fake leader”. span data-stock-id=”sh600060″ class=”stock-word”>Hisense Electric waits until it rises and then falls back again. This is the reason why stocks that continue to grow stronger again make up for losses. The main force pulls early! It pulls early, and it can’t bear the pressure of retail investors, but it has no strength. If you can hold it, you have the strength!
It will be safer to wait until the market has been launched before pulling up, but the leader must not be able to do it-others have already risen up, and it is recognized by the market For the leader. The market can’t accommodate more leaders. If you miss a wave, you can only wait for the next wave. Therefore, the one who is late is the main force who can’t understand the market and the rhythm. He can’t solve the problem of stepping on the spot, and he doesn’t dare to raise the selling pressure of retail investors in advance, and there is no value in following.
The best situation is:at the beginning of the market, the main force just pulled the stock price to the previous high, and took advantage of the trend to rise and become the leader. With a good click, retail investors were just about to make a profit, but found that the market had already started, so they reaffirmed their confidence in financing, and other retail investors became the leader as soon as they followed suit.
Current AWhich stocks to buy at the stock stage
The following will share with you the general outline of the stock market map, k-line, and moving average basis , Tangent, indicator analysis, stock selection, sector rotation, and various scams in the stock market, I hope to give you a summary of stock knowledge, more and more specific investment knowledge sharing, please pay attention to Yuesheng Investment Advisory (yslcw927 ), I will share with you step by step!
(Note:If the following pictures are not clear, you can ask me for high-definition pictures, they will be compressed here)
1、Stock market map general outline
2 , KLine basis
3, Average line basis
4, tangent basis
5, indicator analysis
6, statistical analysis
7, stock selection method
8, sector rotation
9, various scams in the stock market strong>
Reminder:Due to the limited space, if you can’t see the pictures or like the editor’s articles, you can follow the public account Yuesheng Investment Advisor (yslcw927), more Market outlook operations and stock technical analysis methods are waiting for you to learn, and there is a steady supply of dry goods!
How to select a large stock from Ashare 3600 Bull stocks (with stock selection method)
In the”1234″ trading theorem, 1 refers to how to hold bull stocks, 2 refers to correct concepts, and 3 Refers to seeing through ten phenomena, 4 refers to catching hot spots.
First, holding bull stocks is the first choice, sell high and buy low, and make money
There are six elements in mind:1 set of dealers, 2 online, 3 over the top, 4 washing, 5 replenishing, and 6 rising,
The five major points to keep in mind:1. Do not increase the volume at a high position, and ensure safety. 2. Do not enlarge the volume ratio, and don’t be afraid of a big drop. 3. The increase rate is small, and the dealer wants it. 4. The volume ratio is really upside. Don’t get out of the air at a good time. 5. Bull stocks also have an adjustment period.
Second, the winner is based on the correct concept
1. Do one stock a year! Advice:Don’t sell bull stocks easily ,graduation. The first choice is bull stocks, which is half way; both hot and strong stocks are both good for investment and speculation.
2. The most important thing for a trader is the ability to respond in the plate.
3. Qualitative must be done well. Qualitative big cycle, weekly stock selection, monthly identification. Time-sharing tracking.
4. The law must be followed. Use the 18-day average volume line and the 18-day average price line to see the market.
5. No one can teach you, rely on your own practice, repeat success Experience makes making money a habit. Often making money is more important than making a lot of money.
Three, find flaws to make money, ten phenomena face to face
1, low open Changyang, 2, up and down test, 3, the first time Callback quasi-washing, 4, three times over the top to rise, 5. Deviation no more than five days 6, bull stocks no less than 10 days, 7, low opening straight up to lure more wash plate 8, high opening straight line, go low to get out, 9, straight line high to go Stopping, 10, multiple tops are not tops, pay attention to two points:after two gaps, most of the downward gaps will be covered within two weeks; secondly, the flaws are very urgent!
Four, catching hot spots is a magic weapon for small funds to make quick profits
1. Three short-term indicators:stock breakthroughs, main rises, or weak rebounds;
2, the essence of short-term:attack the low position for the first time, open the gap high, daily limit, ambush the leader. Only making short-term explosive stocks is the essence of actual combat.
3. Short-term basis:short-term entry and exit must be established on the basis of mid-line safety and grasp the precise time of the outbreak. Only high-speed travel can create profits, and there is heaven in the small market.
4, real short-term skills. Doing T+0 in the intraday is a real short-term effort.
5. Short-term characteristics and principles:hot spots for three days, with new characteristics every day:on the first day, if the volume is large, it needs to be closed, and if it is not closed, it needs to be adjusted; the second day, the gap rises and it is strong; Doji, the center of gravity moves up, the gap is not filled, the main force cannot be released, and the milestones are advanced; On the third day, the deviation of volume and price will be out. There are no more than three things. Open high and go low to deceive you. The three principles of short-term operation are”short, flat, and fast”. When oversold is often strong, you cannot miss the most important trading day in the market.
The following editor will specifically explain the next stock selection steps
How do we quickly select the ultra-short-term votes that require close attention after the market? There are thousands of stock methods. I don’t think anyone has ever counted them. I have used many stock selection indicators. Either I can’t choose stocks or I choose a lot of stocks, and the success rate is not high. I have said that I am a person who likes tossing, tossing indicators, tossing early warning, and tossing stock selection. After some days of practice, I have summarized a set of my own stock selection methods for ultra-short-term, fast and high success rate, now using graphics and text Explaining it to the public is a good idea.
Step 1:Eliminate junk stocks The most obvious thing is the capped ST stocks, which are at risk of delisting. As of August 27, 2018, a total of 91 junk stocks have been eliminated.
Step 2:Create self-selected stocks to create self-selected stocks. Currently, all stocks selected through various bull stock indicators enter the self-selected In the stocks, manually add the self-selected stocks keyboard and press Alt+A; in addition, the key to delete the self-selected stocks is Delete, and then recall the self-selected stocks to be deleted, and finally click to delete from the board;
The third step:Starting from a leading company in the industry, Shuai Xuanniu stocks will display the Securities Regulatory Commission classification and the SSE classification in the viewing software. According to the different qualifications of listed companies, they are divided into different industries; viewing all the industry leading stocks classified by the Securities Regulatory Commission in the software Join the self-selected column and wait for the selection;
Step 4:From the bull stocks with excellent performance and stable growth to the bull stocks with excellent performance and stable growth, it can be completed by indicators, and the performance has steadily increased by more than 20%, The price-earnings ratio is less than 20 times; through the software stock picker target high-quality stocks, stocks with huge rolling profits, stocks with high distribution ability, these stocks with good and stable performance will be included in it;
Step 5:From stocks with strong resistance to risks, if you want to find indicators with strong resistance to risks, you can select stocks from listed companies’ debt ratio, price-to-book ratio, cash flow ratio and other indicators, and select individual stocks based on these indicators Add self-selection;
Step 6:Filter out the unqualified stocks according to the self-selected bull stock standard conditions. This is conditional stock selection, and further screen the stock technology according to your own bull stock standards , Retain those deemed to meet the conditions, and exclude those that do not meet the requirements;
Step 7:Manually select and retain bull stocks. I believe that there are not many stocks after the screening and removal of the above steps. Finally, manually select stocks again, and analyze the stocks one by one according to your own style bull stock conditions to see which stocks are the bull stocks you really need to join the tracking, and wait for opportunities for intervention.
Rote the most profitable tactics of”single yang not broken”
Single yang not broken means that after a big sun appears, the following bars are not Fell below the lowest price of this single yang. This method combines the candlestick pattern with the time period.
Single sun does not break the pattern
When a big sun appears, the following 6 to 7 candles consolidate sideways, and all prices are low The lowest price that has not penetrated this big Yangxian Yangxian, this is”single sun does not break.”
Once the single yang is not broken, the market will rise at any time.”Single sun does not break” will form the safest buying point, that is, a sun line appears and the bottom is not broken after 7 days of adjustment, indicating that the market has a strong internal rise. Even if the trend fails, it can be out smoothly with minimal risk. Single Yang is not broken is to use the principle of marginal effect of market psychological failure to find outbursts of bullish popularity.
Single Yang does not break the special form:Standard multi-square gun
Best buy point:
( 1) Radicals:That is, a positive line appeared, and the bottom was not broken after 7 days of adjustment, indicating that the market has a strong internal rise. Even if the trend fails, it can be out smoothly with minimal risk.
(2) Steady person:Intervene in an ascending and massive amount, otherwise the success rate can be increased to more than 80%. Not all forms of”single yang without breaking” will trigger a blowout. Some of them may fail in different trend phases, or their upward strength is extremely weak.
Single Yang does not break the actual combat case:
(1) The next day Open higher without filling the gap, and open higher within three points is the best, followed by 5 points;
(2) The upper and lower shadows of the consolidation pattern after a single yang should not exceed 5 points ;Small box oscillating operation, this action is to repair the short period (when the small box oscillates, it cannot make up for the gap on the next day Gap); more yang is better than less yin.
(3) The volume of the next day and the single-sun K-line volume can remain the same or slightly higher, and the volume in the following three to five days can be the same or shrink slightly.
Single Yang does not break 3Types
1、Strong single Yang Not broken
(2) The upper and lower shadow lines of the consolidation pattern after a single positive should not exceed 5 points; the small box oscillates, this action is to repair the short period (small box oscillating At that time, it is not possible to cover the gap in the next day); more yang and less yin is better;
The strongest form of stock selection formula:
Single positive:=C>O*(1+positive increase/100) AND VOL>REF(VOL,1)* Positive amount;
High price not broken:=REF(C,BARSLAST (single positive));
Medium price not broken:=REF((C+L)/2, BARSLAST (Single Yang));
Low price without breaking price:=REF(L,BARSLAST(Single Yang));
Two days:=LLV(L, BARSLAST(Single Yang)) >Low price not broken OR LLV(L, BARSLAST (single yang))=low price not broken;
The strongest:=LLV(L, BARSLAST (single yang)-3)> High price not broken OR LLV( L, BARSLAST (Single Yang) -2)=High without breaking the price;
The strongest stock pick:BARSLAST (Single Yang)
2, robust single yang does not break
(1) The next day is high Open or open the platform or open lower, if the backtest cannot fall below the 50%position of the single big positive K line;
(2) The next day’s volume ratio is greater than 3, usually higher open such stocks are at 10 -50;
(3) In the subsequent adjustments, the upper shadow of the K-line cannot easily exceed 5 points above the closing price of Shanyang; 50%of the closing price of Shanyang The box at the top 5 points oscillates. This action is actually to repair the short cycle; more yang and less yin are better;
(4) The trading volume in the subsequent oscillation of Shan Dayang shrinks slightly.
Strong form:After Shanyang, individual stocks have mixed ups and downs, and the stock price has always been above 1/2 of that of Shanyang.
Strong form stock selection formula:
Strong:=LLV(L,BARSLAST(Single Yang)-2)>Mid not break the price OR LLV (L, BARSLAST (single positive) -2)=The price is not broken;
Strong stock picking:BARSLAST (single positive)
3, the weak single Yang is not broken
(1) High open flat Or open lower, and then oscillate downward. The lowest price cannot fall below the opening price of Shan Dayang;
(2) When it goes down, it will fall along the channel, and there will be more yin and less yang;
(3) After the single Dayang K-line, the price fell and the volume decreased, and the trading volume reached near the volume energy of the day before the single Dayang K-line was activated, which indicates that there is a direction choice.
General pattern:After Shanyang, individual stocks have mixed ups and downs, and the stock price has always been above the opening price of Shanyang.
General stock selection formula:
General:=LLV(L,BARSLAST(Single Yang)-2)>Low but not broken OR LLV(L , BARSLAST (single yang)-2)=low price without breaking;
General stock picking:BARSLAST (single yang)
Use”single yang without breaking”It can capture and increase stocks with a very high probability, but as an analysis method, it is not a panacea. In order to avoid potential market risks, strict rules must be applied to it. The”single sun does not break” K-line combination is a special case of a strong upward trend, and shows a very stable start-up time law, by which we can effectively grasp the upward trend of the market.
The three qualities of successful traders, I hope everyone can remember:
First, enthusiasm, you must love this market, if you just say Making money without loving this transaction makes it difficult to persist in this market.
Second, courage. This courage is not the courage to open a position, but the courage to recognize that you are wrong. When you are wrong, do you have the courage to stop loss resolutely.
Third, discipline. Every time you make a deal, you must plan well. Where is your stop loss? If he really reaches the risk control position, you must execute it without hesitation. These three points are actually very important. Deciding the success or failure of an investment is a trader’s psychology, attention and personal thinking mode.
If you want to become a successful professional investor, you must abide by the following principles:
1. Be determined to stay in the market for a long time, that is, from Start now as a trader for at least 20 years.
2, learn as much as possible. Pay attention to expert opinions, but also have useful skepticism. To ask questions, not simply accept.
3. Don’t be greedy, don’t trade in a hurry, hurry up and learn. There will always be more good opportunities in the future market.
4. Form a set of market analysis methods, and use centralized analysis methods to prove trading decisions. Bull, bear, and shock markets need to use different trading tools, and there must be ways to distinguish the differences.
5. Form a set of fund management plans. The first goal must be long-term survival, the second is the steady growth of assets, and the third is to obtain high returns.
6. Realize that traders are the weakest link in any trading system.
7. The thinking, feeling and actions of winners are quite different from those of losers.
Trend and interval oscillation:
1. The skills of operation in the trend and operation in the oscillation interval are different. The difference lies in the handling of strong and weak relationships. When the trend continues, you must follow the strong side, that is, buy in an uptrend and sell in a downtrend. When the range oscillates, the reverse operation must be done, buying weak and selling strong, that is, falling to a support level to buy and rising to a pressure level to sell.
2. If the market is in range oscillation and you are waiting for a breakthrough, you must decide whether to buy after the expected breakthrough, the process of the breakthrough, or the effective breakthrough. Buy 1/3 of the position, buy 1/3 when it breaks, and buy 1/3 when it pulls back. Regardless of the method used, the principles of capital management must be used to avoid risks, namely the buy point and the protective stop loss. The distance should not exceed 2%of the total funds.
3. In the trend, the fund management skills are different in the shock interval. In a round of trend, the position should be set low and the stop loss level should be wide. When the interval is oscillating, the position can be set high and the stop loss level should be narrow.
Use rules to solve stop loss and open position, use trend to solve stop profit, use trend to interpret probability, use probability to solve belief, and use profit to increase confidence. In this way, you will be a profitable winner!
Statement:This content is provided by Yuesheng Investment Advisor, and it does not mean that Investment Express endorses its investment views